TÜRKMENİSTAN’DA BÜYÜME VE MALİ YAPI: VAR ANALİZİ (1996-2019)
Asya Araştırmaları Uluslararası Sosyal Bilimler Dergisi, cilt.5, sa.1, ss.53-68, 2021 (Hakemli Dergi)
- Yayın Türü: Makale / Tam Makale
- Cilt numarası: 5 Sayı: 1
- Basım Tarihi: 2021
- Dergi Adı: Asya Araştırmaları Uluslararası Sosyal Bilimler Dergisi
- Sayfa Sayıları: ss.53-68
- Akdeniz Üniversitesi Adresli: Evet
Özet
This study investigates the effect of foreign direct investments, resource revenues, and public
expenditures on economic growth in the period of 1996-2019 in Turkmenistan's economy, using VAR analysis.
According to the findings of the cointegration analysis, there is a long-term relationship between real growth
and these three variables. On the other hand, according to the Granger causality test, there is a positive
causality relationship from real growth to FDI and from public expenditure to FDI in the short run (10%
significance level). Besides, there is a bidirectional positive causality relationship between resource income and
growth. There is no causality relationship between other variables. The third finding of the study is that the
impact of direct foreign investments on growth is relatively large. Also, it is concluded that the effect of foreign
direct investments on growth is relatively more important in the variance decomposition