Do Oil Prices Directly Affect Stock Markets: Evidence from Istanbul Stock Exchange

Unlu U., Topcu M.

IKTISAT ISLETME VE FINANS, cilt.27, sa.319, ss.75-87, 2012 (SSCI) identifier

  • Yayın Türü: Makale / Tam Makale
  • Cilt numarası: 27 Sayı: 319
  • Basım Tarihi: 2012
  • Doi Numarası: 10.3484/iif.2012.319.3438
  • Dergi Adı: IKTISAT ISLETME VE FINANS
  • Derginin Tarandığı İndeksler: Social Sciences Citation Index (SSCI)
  • Sayfa Sayıları: ss.75-87
  • Anahtar Kelimeler: Oil price, Stock market, Istanbul Stock Exchange, AUTOREGRESSIVE TIME-SERIES, SHOCKS, COINTEGRATION
  • Akdeniz Üniversitesi Adresli: Hayır

Özet

The aim of this paper is to investigate the impact of oil prices on Istanbul Stock Exchange (ISE) using cointegration and causality analyses in two sub-samples: 1990:M1-2001:M2 and 2001:M3-2011:M12. Findings indicate that there is no long term and causal relationship in the first period while there is long term relationship and uni-directional causality running from oil prices to stock market in second period. Furthermore, in contrast to other oil importer countries, oil prices affect stock market positively in Turkey and the response of ISE index to the changes in oil prices is very expeditious.