Testing pollution haven and pollution halo hypotheses for Turkey: a new perspective


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MERT M., ÇAĞLAR A. E.

ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCE AND POLLUTION RESEARCH, vol.27, no.26, pp.32933-32943, 2020 (SCI-Expanded) identifier identifier identifier

  • Publication Type: Article / Article
  • Volume: 27 Issue: 26
  • Publication Date: 2020
  • Doi Number: 10.1007/s11356-020-09469-7
  • Journal Name: ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCE AND POLLUTION RESEARCH
  • Journal Indexes: Science Citation Index Expanded (SCI-EXPANDED), Scopus, IBZ Online, ABI/INFORM, Aerospace Database, Agricultural & Environmental Science Database, Aqualine, Aquatic Science & Fisheries Abstracts (ASFA), BIOSIS, CAB Abstracts, EMBASE, Environment Index, Geobase, MEDLINE, Pollution Abstracts, Veterinary Science Database, Civil Engineering Abstracts
  • Page Numbers: pp.32933-32943
  • Keywords: Asymmetric pollution haven hypothesis, Asymmetric pollution halo hypothesis, Short- and long-run asymmetric causality, Hidden co-integration, Crouching error correction model, FOREIGN DIRECT-INVESTMENT, CARBON-DIOXIDE EMISSIONS, ENVIRONMENTAL KUZNETS CURVE, OIL PRICE MOVEMENTS, UNIT-ROOT TEST, ENERGY-CONSUMPTION, CO2 EMISSIONS, INTERNATIONAL-TRADE, CAUSALITY ANALYSIS, ECONOMIC-GROWTH
  • Akdeniz University Affiliated: Yes

Abstract

In this study, we analyzed the asymmetric short- and long-run causal links between foreign direct investments and emissions in Turkey over the time period 1974-2018. Using hidden co-integration techniques, we defined and tested the asymmetric pollution haven and asymmetric pollution halo hypotheses. To evaluate the long-run asymmetric causal relationship, we estimated both the crouching error correction model and vector error correction model. We performed a stepwise regression model to estimate the crouching error correction model. The empirical results confirmed an asymmetric causal relationship between positive shocks of foreign direct investments and positive movements in emissions in the short run as well as an asymmetric causal link between negative and positive shocks of foreign direct investments and positive emissions in the long run. Furthermore, the results showed that increases in foreign direct investments led to a decrease in the rate of emission growth in both the short and long run. This finding supports the validity of the asymmetric pollution halo hypothesis in Turkey's case. Policymakers should strengthen their environmental protection laws to protect the quality of their environments as well as implement policies that encourage the use of clean technology and tax incentives that increase foreign direct investment inflows.