Global Production Chains and Export Survival


TÜRKCAN K., SAYGILI H.

EASTERN EUROPEAN ECONOMICS, vol.57, no.2, pp.103-129, 2019 (SSCI) identifier identifier

  • Publication Type: Article / Article
  • Volume: 57 Issue: 2
  • Publication Date: 2019
  • Doi Number: 10.1080/00128775.2018.1539335
  • Journal Name: EASTERN EUROPEAN ECONOMICS
  • Journal Indexes: Social Sciences Citation Index (SSCI), Scopus
  • Page Numbers: pp.103-129
  • Keywords: export duration, fragmentation of production, global production chains, parts and components trade, survival analysis, INTRAINDUSTRY TRADE, MARKET ENTRY, DURATION, DETERMINANTS, HYSTERESIS, EXPERIENCE, DYNAMICS, TURKEY, COSTS
  • Akdeniz University Affiliated: Yes

Abstract

In this article, we empirically investigate the role of global production chains (GPCs) in export survival by using highly disaggregated machinery exports data from Turkey for the period 1998-2013. We contribute to the literature by offering alternative indicators adopted from intra-industry trade to represent more effectively the extent of GPC in a survival analysis. Based on the estimation of a discrete-time logit model with random effects, we find that GPCs have a strong positive influence on the survival probability of Turkey's machinery exports. This impact is even stronger if trade involves vertically differentiated trade and parts and components in particular.